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Red110
189537.5
862224.8
68643.1
Blue189
42292.2
289020.8
88860.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10218550150200250110189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+77
Endgame+83
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points51
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +56
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points74
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
66Total teleop122
Reef
6L4#13
4L3#8
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
6Foul points2
110Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
43.10.1
43.343.2
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
blue by 49.1
422
#1
92.21.5
89.490.9
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
1895
#34
37.50.1
37.737.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
blue by 23.0
888
#15
60.61.5
55.757.2
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
8622
#40
24.80.1
24.924.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 3.9
2890
#53
20.81.5
19.320.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned