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Red157
859270.6
379335.1
463835.4
Blue148
83659.1
482135.6
859046.2
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160161140180200157148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points22
19Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
18Processor points18
32Net points24
50Algae points42
120Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points4
157Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.2
66.065.7
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 11.4
836
#14
59.10.7
55.454.7
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
Second
4638
#42
35.40.2
35.034.8
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
blue by 10.8
8590
#47
46.20.7
42.642.0
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
Third
3793
#35
35.10.2
34.133.9
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 0.5
4821
#22
35.60.7
35.634.9
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed