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Red227
162963.1
210661.4
44963.8
Blue173
188541.7
219959.3
533849.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204178100150250300227173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
29Coral scored#29
106Coral points105
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
30Processor points12
24Net points24
54Algae points36
160Total teleop141
Reef
11L4#15
12L3#6
7L2#8
7L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
227Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
63.81.3
61.362.6
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 4.5
2199
#26
59.30.5
57.757.1
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Second
1629
#13
63.11.3
58.559.8
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 13.7
5338
#28
49.40.5
50.049.4
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
Third
2106
#32
61.41.3
58.059.3
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
red by 19.7
1885
#20
41.70.5
41.340.8
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned