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Red115
210661.4
511534.7
141839.1
Blue100
289020.8
97746.6
12246.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010150150200115100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
56Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
115Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#32
61.40.2
51.751.9
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
red by 14.8
122
#8
46.60.3
35.935.6
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Second
1418
#43
39.10.2
40.941.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
blue by 7.6
977
#44
46.60.3
41.641.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
Third
5115
#16
34.70.2
19.519.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
red by 13.8
2890
#53
20.80.3
21.321.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned