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Qual 132025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red157
379335.1
533849.4
40150.8
Blue104
632623.0
253436.9
686329.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258850100150200157104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
18Processor points18
32Net points12
50Algae points30
110Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
157Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#9
50.82.8
37.1→39.8
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
red by 13.9
2534
#39
36.90.8
42.7→43.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
Second
5338
#28
49.42.8
41.2→44.0
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
red by 20.4
6863
#41
29.10.8
18.9→19.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Third
3793
#35
35.12.8
26.1→28.8
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 12.1
6326
#52
23.00.8
19.3→20.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed