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Red110
823027.5
374851.4
1022440.3
Blue96
862224.8
34629.9
463835.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059805015020011096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+10
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points19
24Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
60Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
110Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.1
39.440.6
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
red by 15.9
4638
#42
35.40.5
30.230.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
Second
40.31.1
28.829.9
Auto9.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
red by 10.3
346
#51
29.90.5
39.840.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
Third
8230
#29
27.51.1
24.825.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 2.7
8622
#40
24.80.5
19.119.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed