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Red122
173153.5
33918.6
88860.6
Blue93
54045.6
236350.0
44963.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312310011012013012293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points42
4Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
24Processor points12
8Net points8
32Algae points20
73Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
12Foul points6
122Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#15
60.60.3
46.946.7
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
blue by 3.2
449
#4
63.81.9
57.155.2
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
1731
#17
53.50.3
49.249.0
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
red by 3.6
2363
#21
50.01.9
33.431.5
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Third
339
#48
18.60.3
17.717.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.0
blue by 27.0
540
#37
45.61.9
24.622.8
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed