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Red109
859046.2
141839.1
61438.0
Blue152
40150.8
454142.7
907256.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108125050150200250109152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points44
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points60
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
73Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#6
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
109Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8590
#47
46.20.5
33.834.3
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
blue by 10.7
56.92.8
45.848.6
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
Second
1418
#43
39.10.5
41.141.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
blue by 11.7
401
#9
50.82.8
39.842.6
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Third
614
#31
38.00.5
26.426.9
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
blue by 4.8
4541
#27
42.72.8
24.227.0
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned