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Qual 212025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red98
34629.9
188541.7
289020.8
Blue189
236350.0
173153.5
111127.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012105015020025030035098189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+65
Endgame+89
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +58
18Coral scored#26
65Coral points95
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
85Total teleop143
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#7
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
4Foul points6
98Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#20
41.72.0
28.5→26.5
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
blue by 11.8
1731
#17
53.53.7
49.0→52.7
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
Second
346
#51
29.92.0
42.0→40.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
blue by 20.0
2363
#21
50.03.7
31.5→35.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Third
2890
#53
20.82.0
21.0→19.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 6.4
1111
#36
27.23.7
20.1→23.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned