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Red125
680243.1
44963.8
219959.3
Blue93
54045.6
621321.8
450529.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16242010015020025012593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
91Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
125Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
63.81.7
55.253.5
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 18.3
540
#37
45.62.6
22.825.4
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Second
2199
#26
59.31.7
47.145.4
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
red by 30.3
4505
#46
29.02.6
21.323.9
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
Third
6802
#45
43.11.7
36.334.6
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
red by 21.4
6213
#50
21.82.6
9.412.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed