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Qual 282025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red95
289020.8
141839.1
907256.9
Blue127
313653.0
34629.9
68643.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151375010015020095127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#20
46Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
66Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
95Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#7
56.91.3
48.6→47.3
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 3.9
3136
#10
53.00.2
44.4→44.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
1418
#43
39.11.3
41.6→40.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
blue by 4.0
686
#11
43.10.2
40.1→39.9
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
Third
2890
#53
20.81.3
19.0→17.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 9.1
346
#51
29.90.2
40.1→39.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned