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Red141
83659.1
162963.1
111127.2
Blue128
859046.2
236350.0
823027.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459750200250141128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points25
41Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
84Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
141Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.10.6
54.254.8
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 13.1
2363
#21
50.02.2
35.237.4
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
836
#14
59.10.6
49.049.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
red by 12.9
8590
#47
46.22.2
34.336.5
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
Third
1111
#36
27.20.6
23.824.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 0.3
8230
#29
27.52.2
22.624.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned