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Red129
108631.6
40150.8
872630.4
Blue192
173153.5
1022440.3
42292.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10317950150200250300129192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+41
Endgame+61
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave9
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points49
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
80Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#14
4L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points2
129Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#9
50.81.1
42.643.7
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
blue by 41.4
422
#1
92.21.3
79.280.5
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
1086
#38
31.61.1
33.734.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 21.9
1731
#17
53.51.3
52.754.0
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
Third
8726
#54
30.41.1
25.526.5
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End1.1
blue by 9.8
40.31.3
27.528.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned