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Red80
218624.3
61136.6
482135.6
Blue79
189537.5
61438.0
632623.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099660801201401608079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
26Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points8
80Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#49
36.61.0
29.328.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
blue by 1.4
614
#31
38.01.0
26.925.9
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
Second
4821
#22
35.61.0
29.928.9
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
blue by 2.0
1895
#34
37.51.0
30.429.4
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
Third
2186
#30
24.31.0
26.926.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
red by 1.3
6326
#52
23.01.0
20.319.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned