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Red148
379335.1
190845.9
53937.2
Blue174
44963.8
511534.7
88860.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105134050150200250148174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
22Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points72
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
24Processor points24
16Net points32
40Algae points56
110Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#6
3L2#6
6L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
148Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#23
45.92.8
33.336.2
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
blue by 17.9
449
#4
63.83.0
53.556.5
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
539
#24
37.22.8
31.434.2
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
blue by 23.4
888
#15
60.63.0
43.846.7
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
3793
#35
35.12.8
29.632.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 0.4
5115
#16
34.73.0
21.124.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned