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Red138
463835.4
54045.6
680243.1
Blue142
62056.1
686329.1
337335.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103116406080140160180200138142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points36
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
95Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
138Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#37
45.63.0
28.231.2
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
blue by 10.6
620
#19
56.12.7
51.354.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Second
6802
#45
43.13.0
34.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
red by 7.2
3373
#33
35.92.7
27.830.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
Third
4638
#42
35.43.0
30.733.6
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
red by 6.4
6863
#41
29.12.7
22.725.4
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed