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Red138
172753.3
335930.6
12246.6
Blue102
454142.7
450529.0
374851.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249550150200138102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points17
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
99Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
8L3#3
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
138Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.8
50.652.5
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
red by 1.9
51.40.5
40.641.1
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
Second
122
#8
46.61.8
36.037.8
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
red by 3.9
4541
#27
42.70.5
27.027.5
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Third
3359
#25
30.61.8
21.323.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.5
End3.0
red by 1.6
4505
#46
29.00.5
23.924.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned