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Red84
621321.8
141839.1
632623.0
Blue114
236350.0
108631.6
189537.5
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611705010015020084114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
45Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
84Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#43
39.10.5
40.340.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
blue by 10.9
2363
#21
50.00.8
37.438.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
6326
#52
23.00.5
19.319.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 14.5
1895
#34
37.50.8
29.430.2
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
Third
6213
#50
21.80.5
14.815.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 9.8
1086
#38
31.60.8
34.835.6
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned