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Red111
40150.8
173153.5
34629.9
Blue128
580456.8
253436.9
335930.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911850100200250111128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
65Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
111Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
53.52.6
54.051.4
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
blue by 3.2
56.81.0
46.547.5
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Second
401
#9
50.82.6
43.741.1
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
red by 13.9
2534
#39
36.91.0
38.039.0
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
Third
346
#51
29.92.6
40.337.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
blue by 0.7
3359
#25
30.61.0
23.124.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned