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Red191
33918.6
62056.1
42292.2
Blue157
53937.2
210661.4
61438.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911750100150200250300191157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +33
30Coral scored#23
107Coral points84
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
147Total teleop114
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#11
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
191Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.21.9
80.582.4
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 30.7
2106
#32
61.42.1
51.453.5
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
620
#19
56.11.9
54.055.9
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
red by 18.1
614
#31
38.02.1
25.928.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
Third
339
#48
18.61.9
14.716.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.0
blue by 18.6
539
#24
37.22.1
34.236.3
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned