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Qual 452025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red115
680243.1
454142.7
379335.1
Blue116
219959.3
54045.6
61136.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121190200300400115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
76Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
115Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#45
43.11.0
37.6→38.6
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
blue by 16.2
2199
#26
59.30.4
48.2→48.6
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Second
4541
#27
42.71.0
27.5→28.5
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 2.8
540
#37
45.60.4
31.2→31.5
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Third
3793
#35
35.11.0
32.4→33.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 1.5
611
#49
36.60.4
28.3→28.7
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed