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Red126
511534.7
482135.6
188541.7
Blue119
253436.9
337335.9
872630.4
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714150100200250126119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
12Processor points6
12Net points28
24Algae points34
94Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
126Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#20
41.70.5
29.229.8
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
red by 4.9
2534
#39
36.90.8
40.239.4
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
Second
4821
#22
35.60.5
28.829.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
blue by 0.4
3373
#33
35.90.8
32.731.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
Third
5115
#16
34.70.5
27.227.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
red by 4.2
8726
#54
30.40.8
29.528.7
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed