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Red124
450529.0
463835.4
11650.3
Blue216
42292.2
580456.8
162963.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8321450100150250300124216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+80
Endgame+92
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points37
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +76
18Coral scored#34
63Coral points121
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
77Total teleop153
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#11
4L2#10
3L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points0
124Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#12
50.32.0
32.234.2
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
blue by 41.9
422
#1
92.21.5
83.985.4
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
4638
#42
35.42.0
34.736.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
blue by 27.7
1629
#13
63.11.5
55.857.4
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Third
4505
#46
29.02.0
24.026.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
blue by 27.8
56.81.5
50.251.7
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned