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Qual 582025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red131
454142.7
632623.0
61136.6
Blue182
374851.4
68643.1
44963.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8116250100150200250131182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
29Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +36
18Coral scored#23
66Coral points82
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
96Total teleop132
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#6
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
131Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#27
42.73.0
33.0→36.0
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 21.1
449
#4
63.82.4
56.9→59.3
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
611
#49
36.63.0
29.5→32.5
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
blue by 14.8
3748
#5
51.42.4
45.6→48.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
Third
6326
#52
23.03.0
20.8→23.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 20.0
686
#11
43.12.4
40.5→42.9
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned