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Red138
54045.6
61438.0
289020.8
Blue166
190845.9
859270.6
12246.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8616850100150200250138166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
23Coral scored#29
82Coral points106
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
116Total teleop134
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#8
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
138Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#37
45.62.6
34.236.8
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
blue by 25.0
70.60.5
63.163.6
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
Second
614
#31
38.02.6
30.132.8
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
blue by 8.7
122
#8
46.60.5
41.942.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Third
2890
#53
20.82.6
19.822.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 25.1
1908
#23
45.90.5
40.040.5
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned