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Red148
335930.6
173153.5
189537.5
Blue103
379335.1
313653.0
111127.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122109050150200250148103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +32
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
105Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#8
9L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
148Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
53.52.7
49.652.3
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
red by 0.5
3136
#10
53.00.4
43.744.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
1895
#34
37.52.7
33.035.7
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
red by 2.5
3793
#35
35.10.4
31.431.8
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Third
3359
#25
30.62.7
25.227.9
Auto4.1
Teleop23.5
End3.0
red by 3.4
1111
#36
27.20.4
22.122.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed