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Red111
533849.4
34629.9
62056.1
Blue155
40150.8
219959.3
218624.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212850100200250111155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+42
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
81Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points2
111Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#19
56.12.4
58.055.6
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
blue by 3.2
2199
#26
59.31.6
53.154.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Second
5338
#28
49.42.4
49.747.3
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
blue by 1.4
401
#9
50.81.6
42.944.5
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Third
346
#51
29.92.4
36.233.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
red by 5.6
2186
#30
24.31.6
27.128.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned