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Red117
823027.5
621321.8
210661.4
Blue129
907256.9
53937.2
686329.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313850150200250117129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points16
24Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +25
18Coral scored#23
63Coral points84
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
77Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#30
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
117Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#32
61.41.0
52.053.0
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
red by 4.5
56.90.2
52.852.6
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
Second
8230
#29
27.51.0
25.726.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
blue by 9.7
539
#24
37.20.2
38.137.9
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Third
6213
#50
21.81.0
19.020.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 7.3
6863
#41
29.10.2
29.329.1
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned