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Red86
33918.6
108631.6
859046.2
Blue100
141839.1
680243.1
862224.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951115015020086100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points17
28Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
86Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8590
#47
46.20.4
41.140.7
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
red by 3.1
6802
#45
43.10.2
40.440.1
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Second
1086
#38
31.60.4
36.436.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 7.5
1418
#43
39.10.2
43.443.2
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
Third
339
#48
18.60.4
14.514.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.0
blue by 6.2
8622
#40
24.80.2
19.519.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned