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Qual 642025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red159
172753.3
236350.0
253436.9
Blue193
61136.6
463835.4
42292.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148168100200250159193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+56
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points28
17Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +36
21Coral scored#30
74Coral points108
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
116Total teleop152
Reef
6L4#11
7L3#9
6L2#10
5L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#45
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
159Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#3
53.30.9
52.3→53.2
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
blue by 38.9
422
#1
92.21.8
85.4→87.2
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
2363
#21
50.00.9
42.0→42.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 13.3
611
#49
36.61.8
32.5→34.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
Third
2534
#39
36.90.9
39.4→40.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
4638
#42
35.41.8
36.7→38.5
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed