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Qual 652025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red166
88860.6
12246.6
482135.6
Blue230
11650.3
580456.8
44963.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139172100150200250166230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points40
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +52
18Coral scored#34
64Coral points122
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
12Processor points18
36Net points24
48Algae points42
112Total teleop164
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#11
6L2#11
4L1 · trough#8
36Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
166Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#15
60.61.9
51.9→53.7
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
blue by 3.2
449
#4
63.84.7
59.3→64.0
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
122
#8
46.61.9
42.4→44.3
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
blue by 10.1
5804
#6
56.84.7
51.7→56.5
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Third
4821
#22
35.61.9
29.3→31.2
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
blue by 14.7
116
#12
50.34.7
34.2→39.0
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned