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Qual 672025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red126
34629.9
189537.5
83659.1
Blue140
533849.4
450529.0
190845.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135119100150200126140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#17
64Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
88Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#8
4L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
126Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#14
59.10.1
55.6→55.7
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
red by 9.7
5338
#28
49.41.7
47.3→49.1
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
Second
1895
#34
37.50.1
35.7→35.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
blue by 8.4
1908
#23
45.91.7
40.5→42.2
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
Third
346
#51
29.90.1
33.8→33.9
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
red by 0.9
4505
#46
29.01.7
26.1→27.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned