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Red168
907256.9
632623.0
219959.3
Blue169
53937.2
859270.6
173153.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136174100150200250168169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points23
34Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#16
94Coral points58
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
12Processor points30
12Net points24
24Algae points54
118Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#9
6L3#6
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points12
168Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#26
59.31.7
54.756.4
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
blue by 11.3
70.60.5
63.663.0
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
Second
56.91.7
52.654.3
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 3.4
1731
#17
53.50.5
52.351.8
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
Third
6326
#52
23.01.7
23.725.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 14.1
539
#24
37.20.5
37.937.3
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned