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Red135
859046.2
374851.4
680243.1
Blue128
218624.3
872630.4
210661.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011950100150200250135128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points29
36Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
75Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#6
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
8Foul points0
135Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.1
48.047.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
blue by 10.1
2106
#32
61.41.2
53.054.1
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
8590
#47
46.20.1
40.740.5
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
red by 15.8
8726
#54
30.41.2
28.729.9
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End1.1
Third
6802
#45
43.10.1
40.140.0
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
red by 18.8
2186
#30
24.31.2
28.729.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned