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Red121
823027.5
97746.6
379335.1
Blue98
289020.8
62056.1
108631.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131305010015020012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
66Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
121Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#44
46.60.8
43.944.7
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
blue by 9.5
620
#19
56.11.1
55.654.5
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Second
3793
#35
35.10.8
31.832.6
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 3.5
1086
#38
31.61.1
36.035.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Third
8230
#29
27.50.8
26.727.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
red by 6.7
2890
#53
20.81.1
22.521.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed