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Red44
621321.8
862224.8
337335.9
Blue112
68643.1
141839.1
40150.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6214905010020025044112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#8
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
44Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#33
35.91.8
31.930.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
blue by 14.9
401
#9
50.81.2
44.543.3
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Second
8622
#40
24.81.8
19.317.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 18.3
686
#11
43.11.2
42.941.7
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
Third
6213
#50
21.81.8
20.018.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 17.3
1418
#43
39.11.2
43.242.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned