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Red159
511534.7
162963.1
454142.7
Blue96
111127.2
33918.6
686329.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426305010020025015996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points6
36Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points64
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
105Total teleop78
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
2Foul points0
159Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.11.7
57.459.0
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 34.0
6863
#41
29.11.3
29.130.4
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Second
4541
#27
42.71.7
36.037.6
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
red by 15.5
1111
#36
27.21.3
22.523.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Third
5115
#16
34.71.7
27.729.3
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
red by 16.1
339
#48
18.61.3
14.115.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed