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Qual 732025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red155
580456.8
190845.9
1022440.3
Blue151
533849.4
61136.6
61438.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156130100200250155151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +18
20Coral scored#29
72Coral points106
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
106Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#12
4L3#11
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#37
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
155Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#6
56.80.4
56.5→56.9
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
red by 7.3
5338
#28
49.41.4
49.1→50.5
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
Second
1908
#23
45.90.4
42.2→42.6
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 8.0
614
#31
38.01.4
34.8→36.3
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
Third
10224
#18
40.30.4
39.2→39.6
Auto9.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
red by 3.6
611
#49
36.61.4
34.3→35.7
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed