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Red161
859270.6
54045.6
34629.9
Blue115
463835.4
189537.5
172753.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413950100200250300161115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points49
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
24Processor points6
24Net points20
48Algae points26
108Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
161Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.5
63.064.5
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 17.3
53.30.8
53.252.4
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
Second
540
#37
45.61.5
42.343.8
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
red by 8.0
1895
#34
37.50.8
35.834.9
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
Third
346
#51
29.91.5
33.935.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
blue by 5.5
4638
#42
35.40.8
38.537.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned