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Qual 752025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red191
42292.2
53937.2
253436.9
Blue180
236350.0
680243.1
313653.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189143100200250191180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+31Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points84
6Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
36Processor points18
20Net points16
56Algae points34
131Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#6
10L3#8
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
191Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.21.3
87.2→88.6
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 39.2
3136
#10
53.02.8
49.5→52.3
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
539
#24
37.21.3
37.3→38.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
blue by 12.8
2363
#21
50.02.8
42.9→45.7
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Third
2534
#39
36.91.3
40.3→41.7
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
blue by 6.2
6802
#45
43.12.8
40.0→42.8
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned