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Qual 782025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red133
218624.3
44963.8
111127.2
Blue96
141839.1
83659.1
686329.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231405010015020013396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
80Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
133Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
63.80.6
64.0→64.7
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 4.7
836
#14
59.12.1
55.7→53.5
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
Second
1111
#36
27.20.6
23.8→24.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 11.8
1418
#43
39.12.1
42.0→39.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
Third
2186
#30
24.30.6
29.9→30.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
blue by 4.7
6863
#41
29.12.1
30.4→28.2
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned