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Red104
872630.4
823027.5
219959.3
Blue158
88860.6
68643.1
335930.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123139100150200104158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points44
20Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
68Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points22
104Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#26
59.30.7
56.455.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
blue by 1.3
888
#15
60.60.7
53.754.4
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
8726
#54
30.40.7
29.929.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End1.1
blue by 12.6
686
#11
43.10.7
41.742.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
Third
8230
#29
27.50.7
27.626.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
blue by 3.1
3359
#25
30.60.7
30.030.7
Auto4.1
Teleop23.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned