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Qual 812025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red199
11650.3
40150.8
862224.8
Blue186
454142.7
210661.4
482135.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11414750100200250199186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+5
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +13
31Coral scored#29
113Coral points104
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
149Total teleop136
Reef
9L4#17
14L3#9
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#44
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
199Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#9
50.85.2
43.3→48.5
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
blue by 10.7
2106
#32
61.42.7
54.1→56.8
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
116
#12
50.35.2
39.0→44.1
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
red by 7.5
4541
#27
42.72.7
37.6→40.3
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Third
8622
#40
24.85.2
17.4→22.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 10.8
4821
#22
35.62.7
31.2→33.9
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed