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Red200
859270.6
907256.9
236350.0
Blue159
190845.9
680243.1
62056.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183149100200250200159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +46
30Coral scored#21
108Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
154Total teleop108
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#8
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
200Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.5
64.566.0
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 14.4
620
#19
56.10.4
56.857.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Second
56.91.5
56.658.1
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 11.0
1908
#23
45.90.4
42.643.0
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
Third
2363
#21
50.01.5
45.747.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 6.8
6802
#45
43.10.4
42.843.2
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed