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Red133
108631.6
313653.0
97746.6
Blue119
61136.6
12246.6
379335.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212650100200250133119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
73Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#4
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
133Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#10
53.00.1
52.352.2
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
red by 6.3
122
#8
46.60.2
47.147.2
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Second
977
#44
46.60.1
46.246.1
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
red by 10.0
611
#49
36.60.2
35.735.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
Third
1086
#38
31.60.1
36.336.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 3.5
3793
#35
35.10.2
33.934.1
Auto8.9
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned