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Red245
189537.5
42292.2
188541.7
Blue156
34629.9
686329.1
859046.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20212250100150250300245156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+75Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points22
37Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +66
41Coral scored#25
146Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
192Total teleop126
Reef
18L4#11
15L3#7
10L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
57Game pieces#37
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
245Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.22.8
88.691.3
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 46.0
8590
#47
46.20.6
42.142.6
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
Second
1885
#20
41.72.8
37.640.3
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
red by 11.8
346
#51
29.90.6
35.335.9
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
Third
1895
#34
37.52.8
34.937.7
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
red by 8.5
6863
#41
29.10.6
28.228.8
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed