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Red171
580456.8
210661.4
862224.8
Blue146
54045.6
218624.3
162963.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147142120160180200171146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +8
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
105Total teleop97
Reef
11L4#7
5L3#7
10L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
171Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#32
61.41.3
56.858.1
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
blue by 1.6
1629
#13
63.10.2
57.958.1
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Second
56.81.3
56.958.2
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
red by 11.2
540
#37
45.60.2
43.843.9
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Third
8622
#40
24.81.3
22.623.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 0.5
2186
#30
24.30.2
30.530.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned