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Red132
337335.9
111127.2
40150.8
Blue162
219959.3
88860.6
374851.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10517150150200250132162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points36
37Total auto45
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
71Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
132Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#9
50.81.8
48.550.3
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
blue by 9.8
888
#15
60.60.3
54.454.8
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
3373
#33
35.91.8
31.633.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
blue by 23.3
2199
#26
59.30.3
55.756.1
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Third
1111
#36
27.21.8
24.426.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 24.1
51.40.3
46.847.1
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned