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Red142
680243.1
42292.2
34629.9
Blue137
632623.0
44963.8
97746.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19113550100150250142137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
77Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#9
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points4
142Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.21.9
91.389.4
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 28.4
449
#4
63.80.2
61.161.3
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
6802
#45
43.11.9
43.241.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
blue by 3.5
977
#44
46.60.2
46.146.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
Third
346
#51
29.91.9
35.934.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.2
End0.2
red by 6.9
6326
#52
23.00.2
23.423.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed