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Qual 972025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red137
61438.0
337335.9
374851.4
Blue122
53937.2
11650.3
108631.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133135110120130140150160170137122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
81Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
137Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#5
51.40.5
47.1→47.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
red by 1.1
116
#12
50.30.5
45.9→45.4
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
Second
614
#31
38.00.5
37.1→37.6
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
red by 0.8
539
#24
37.20.5
36.0→35.5
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Third
3373
#33
35.90.5
33.4→34.0
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
red by 4.3
1086
#38
31.60.5
36.1→35.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned